Hurricane Melissa Grows Stronger As It Barrels Toward Jamaica
Cyclone Melissa is forecast to escalate to a infrequent Category 5 cyclone as it shifts toward Jamaica, bringing deadly sudden floods and landslides.
The hurricane, which recorded wind speeds of up to 195 km/h as of 06:00 GMT, is now shifting north-west in the Caribbean and is expected to make landfall by midweek, based on data from weather experts.
Advisories of electricity outages and damage to infrastructure have been announced as this storm produces up to 30 inches of precipitation and storm surges as high as 13ft above normal levels. "Find safe refuge immediately," inhabitants have been urged.
This hurricane is the 13th storm in the current Atlantic storm period, which usually concludes in late autumn.
Category Five Storm Risk
A highest-level storm is the most intense classification, with winds of at least 157mph.
Although Melissa is expected to reduce in intensity to a Category 4 cyclone before reaching the island, experts said there was "almost no noticeable change in the general consequences" upon reaching the coast, and that the hurricane will be "at least that intensity" when it hits the country.
Critical Readiness Measures
With tropical storm-strength gusts and precipitation predicted to begin well before it moves across Jamaica's central region - possibly even the city of Kingston - warnings state that "preparations should be rushed to completion".
"A multi-day period of harmful winds and intense precipitation have begun and will cause catastrophic and life-threatening sudden floods and many rock slides," counseled meteorological officials.
Jamaican Prime Minister the official commented: "I realize that there are numerous residents who are concerned, who are very concerned, and appropriately: concern is justified.
"But the most effective method to manage nervousness and any nervousness and worry is to remain prepared."
Residents are being instructed to fortify their houses with protective bags and wooden boards, and to stock up on essentials.
Broader Impact
Advisories are also active for regions of the neighboring country encompassing the capital, Port au Prince, the Dominican Republic and the eastern part of Cuba, where Melissa is anticipated to bring similar effects by the middle portion of the coming week.
Landslides presently generated by the cyclone have already killed two in the country, according to local authorities.
Projected Path
The hurricane is forecast to cross the island nation by Wednesday before moving through the Greater Antilles and emerging into the Atlantic.
By the point it arrives at Cuba, it is anticipated to have diminished to a third-level cyclone.
Environmental Connection
Although it is difficult to link specific storms to environmental shifts, experts say it is causing meteorological events more prevalent and more intense.
Warmer oceans generate more moisture in the environment, helping fuel the development of hurricanes.
Prior to the beginning of this season's Atlantic storm period, weather organizations forecast above-normal activity, mentioning heated marine conditions and possible more intense weather patterns around the western African continent - where Atlantic storms typically originate.